Prediction of Kp index using NARMAX models with a robust model structure selection method.
Yuanlin GuHua-Liang WeiRichard J. BoyntonSimon N. WalkerMichael A. BalikhinPublished in: ECAI (2017)
Keyphrases
- prediction model
- statistical model
- probabilistic model
- predictive model
- linear model
- modeling method
- mathematical model
- analytical model
- learned models
- parameter estimation
- parametric models
- regression analysis
- objective function
- autoregressive
- hybrid model
- linear models
- hierarchical model
- multiple models
- statistical models
- linear regression
- model fitting
- generic model
- bp neural network
- multiple linear regression
- cost function
- em algorithm
- theoretical analysis
- bayesian framework
- prior knowledge
- linear regression model
- diffusion model
- selection mechanism
- tree structure
- dependency structure
- pairwise
- probability distribution
- surface model
- similarity measure
- nonlinear models
- regression method
- forecasting model
- computationally efficient
- kalman filter
- optimization method
- models built
- prediction algorithm
- moving average
- selection algorithm
- selection criterion
- monte carlo simulation
- evaluation method
- neural network
- classification models
- neural network model
- experimental data
- model selection
- support vector machine
- bayesian networks
- feature selection