Barbara A. Mellers

Publication Activity (10 Years)

Years Active: 1996-2022
Publications (10 Years): 8

Top Topics

Prediction Markets

Reference Points

Top Venues

Publications

Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock
Crowd Prediction Systems: Markets, Polls, and Elite Forecasters. EC (2022)
Ville Satopää, Marat Salikhov, Philip E. Tetlock, Barbara A. Mellers
Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting. Manag. Sci. 67 (12) (2021)
Pavel Atanasov, Jens Witkowski, Lyle Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock
Small Steps to Accuracy: Incremental Belief Updaters Are Better Forecasters. EC (2020)
Evan Weingarten, Sudeep Bhatia, Barbara A. Mellers
Multiple Goals as Reference Points: One Failure Makes Everything Else Feel Worse. Manag. Sci. 65 (7) (2019)
Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster, Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle H. Ungar, Philip Tetlock, Heather H. J. Yang, Elizabeth R. Tenney
Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition. Manag. Sci. 63 (11) (2017)
Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Samuel A. Swift, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers
Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls. Manag. Sci. 63 (3) (2017)
H. Andrew Schwartz, Masoud Rouhizadeh, Michael Bishop, Philip Tetlock, Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle H. Ungar
Assessing Objective Recommendation Quality through Political Forecasting. EMNLP (2017)
Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock
Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses. Decis. Anal. 13 (2) (2016)
Jonathan Baron, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, Eric Stone, Lyle H. Ungar
Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme. Decis. Anal. 11 (2) (2014)
Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar
The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts. SBP (2013)
Lyle H. Ungar, Barbara A. Mellers, Ville Satopää, Philip Tetlock, Jon Baron
The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale Test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions. AAAI Fall Symposium: Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment (2012)
Robert Welch, Theodore Blackmon, Andrew Liu, Barbara A. Mellers, Lawrence W. Stark
The Effects of Pictorial Realism, Delay of Visual Feedback, and Observer Interactivity on the Subjective Sense of Presence. Presence Teleoperators Virtual Environ. 5 (3) (1996)