Surprisingly Rational: Evidence that people follow probability theory when judging probabilities, and that biases in judgment are due to noise
Fintan J. CostelloPaul WattsPublished in: CoRR (2012)
Keyphrases
- probability theory
- belief functions
- dempster shafer
- reasoning under uncertainty
- imprecise probabilities
- possibility theory
- decision theory
- probabilistic logic
- uncertainty management
- evidential reasoning
- conditional independence
- plausible reasoning
- inference rules
- probabilistic interpretation
- argumentation systems
- decision making
- belief change
- neural network
- pattern recognition
- stochastic logic programs
- computer vision