Improving Forecasting Accuracy Using Bayesian Network Decomposition in Prediction Markets.
Anamaria BereaDaniel MaxwellCharles TwardyPublished in: AAAI Fall Symposium: Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment (2012)
Keyphrases
- prediction markets
- bayesian networks
- forecasting accuracy
- neural network model
- hybrid model
- support vector regression
- forecasting model
- bp neural network
- neural network
- graphical models
- cooperative game theory
- feature space
- absolute percentage error
- short term
- approximate inference
- mechanism design
- multi objective
- long term