Research on forecasting method of natural gas demand based on GM (1, 1) model and Markov chain.
Xi WanQinqin ZhangGuoqing DaiPublished in: ICCI*CC (2014)
Keyphrases
- markov chain
- markov model
- monte carlo method
- monte carlo simulation
- forecasting model
- transition matrix
- mathematical model
- prediction model
- probabilistic model
- theoretical analysis
- transition probabilities
- objective function
- bp neural network
- parameter estimation
- stationary distribution
- monte carlo
- prior information
- steady state
- grey model
- stochastic process
- markov models
- grey theory
- support vector machine
- autoregressive
- rbf neural network
- markov chain monte carlo
- stochastic model
- bayesian framework
- closed form
- cross validation
- energy function
- gibbs sampler
- state space
- optimal solution